Bitcoin Futures Deliver Wild Ride as Debut Brings Rally, Halts

Bitcoin has landed on Wall Street.

Futures on the world’s most popular cryptocurrency surged as much as 26 percent in their debut session on Cboe Global Markets Inc.’s exchange, triggering two temporary trading halts designed to calm the market. Initial volume exceeded dealers’ expectations, while traffic on Cboe’s website was so heavy that it caused delays and temporary outages. The website’s problems had no impact on trading systems, Cboe said. Bitcoin’s spot price rose.

“It is rare that you see something more volatile than bitcoin, but we found it: bitcoin futures,” said Zennon Kapron, managing director of Shanghai-based consulting firm Kapronasia.

The launch of futures on a regulated exchange is a watershed for bitcoin, whose surge this year has captivated everyone from mom-and-pop speculators to Wall Street trading firms. The Cboe contracts, soon to be followed by similar offerings from CME Group Inc. and Nasdaq Inc., should make it easier for mainstream investors to bet on the cryptocurrency’s rise or fall.

Bitcoin wagers have until now been mostly limited to venues with little or no oversight, deterring institutional money managers and exposing some users to the risk of hacks and market breakdowns. About 20 trading firms actively participated, Cboe Chairman Ed Tilly said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

QuickTake: You Can Trade Bitcoin Futures. But Should You?

Bitcoin futures expiring in January were 18 percent higher at $17,710 as of 12:25 p.m. in New York from an opening level of $15,000, on 3,561 contracts traded.

“It was smooth, and bitcoin traders don’t seem to be put off by futures,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst in London at online trading firm Oanda. “There was a fear that short selling would have an adverse impact on price, but we haven’t seen that yet.”

The spot price climbed 4.7 percent to $16,383 from the Friday 5 p.m. close in New York, according to the composite price on Bloomberg.

The roughly $1,300 difference reflects not only the novelty of the asset but also the difficulty of using the cash-settled futures to trade against the spot, strategists said.

“In a normal, functioning market, good old arbitrage would settle this,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S in Hellerup, Denmark, said by email. “If they were deliverable you could arbitrage the life out of it.”

Proponents of regulated bitcoin derivatives say the contracts will increase market transparency and boost liquidity, but skeptics abound. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon has called bitcoin a “fraud,” while China’s government has cracked down on cryptocurrency exchanges this year. The Futures Industry Association — a group of major banks, brokers and traders — said this month that contracts in the U.S. were rushed without enough consideration of the risks.

So far though, trading has kicked off without any major hiccups.

Dealers said volume was high for a new contract, even though it was tiny relative to more established futures. And the trading halts took effect just as Cboe had outlined in its rules. Transactions stopped for two minutes after a 10 percent gain from the opening price, and for five minutes after a 20 percent jump. Another five-minute halt will take effect if the rally extends to 30 percent, Cboe said in a notice on its website.

“It was pretty easy to trade,” Joe Van Hecke, managing partner at Chicago-based Grace Hall Trading LLC, said in a telephone interview from Charlotte, North Carolina. “I think you’ll see a robust market as time plays out.”

For now, Cboe futures account for a tiny slice of the world’s bitcoin-related bets. The notional value of contracts traded in the first eight hours totaled about $40 million. Globally, about $1.1 billion of bitcoin traded against the U.S. dollar during the same period, according to Cryptocompare.com.

Some people who would like to trade futures are having a hard time accessing the market because not all brokers are supporting it initially, said Garrett See, chief executive officer of DV Chain. Participation may also be limited because of higher capital requirements and tighter risk limits, See said.

“We’re in the early stages here, and there’s not enough professional liquidity from the big market makers who can provide depth and hold in the movements,” said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia Pacific at Oanda Corp. “It’s going to be a learning curve.”

It’s been painful for investors stuck on the sidelines. This year alone, bitcoin is up more than 17-fold. The surge has been driven largely by demand from individuals, with technical obstacles keeping out most big money managers like mutual funds.

The new derivatives contracts should thrust bitcoin more squarely into the realm of regulators, banks and institutional investors. Both Cboe and CME on Dec. 1 got permission to offer the contracts after pledging to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission that the products don’t run afoul of the law, in a process called self-certification.

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Not everyone is happy with the roll out. Exchanges failed to get enough feedback from market participants on margin levels, trading limits, stress tests and clearing, the Futures Industry Association said this month. In November, Thomas Peterffy, the billionaire chairman of Interactive Brokers Group Inc., wrote an open letter to CFTC Chairman J. Christopher Giancarlo, arguing that bitcoin’s large price swings mean its futures contracts shouldn’t be allowed on platforms that clear other derivatives.

Still, Interactive Brokers is offering its customers access to the futures, with greater restrictions. The firm’s clients won’t be able to go short, and Interactive’s margin requirement, or how much investors have to set aside as collateral, will be at least 50 percent. That’s a stricter threshold than both Cboe’s and CME’s.

QuickTake Q&A: Understanding bitcoin’s rapid price rise

The start of futures trading is an important milestone for bitcoin’s shift from the fringes of finance toward the mainstream, but it could be some time before the cryptocurrency becomes a key part of investor portfolios — if it ever does.

“You never say never,” David Riley, who helps oversee $57 billion as head of credit strategy at BlueBay Asset Management LLP in London, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “But I do think we’re quite some way from making cryptocurrencies even a relatively small part of some of the funds we manage at the moment.”

    Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-10/bitcoin-futures-trading-opens-bringing-crypto-to-wall-street

    Hedge Funds Prepare to Trade Against Bitcoin

    A bitcoin huge brief is developing.

    The prepared intro of bitcoin futures agreements at CME Group Inc., Cboe Global Markets Inc. and Nasdaq Inc.&#xA 0; will make it a lot easier to bank on a decrease. Hedge funds, which have actually mostly remained on the sidelines, are waiting on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange &#x 2019; s futures market to open for a fresh chance to wager versus the cryptocurrency, inning accordance with more than a half lots individuals trading the possessions.

    &#x 201C; The futures lower the frictions of going short more than they do of going long,&#xA 0; so it &#x 2019; s most likely net bearish, &#x 201D; stated Craig Pirrong, a service teacher at the University of Houston. &#x 201C; Having this instrument that makes it much easier to brief may keep the bitcoin rate a little closer to truth. &#x 201D;

    Bitcoin has actually acquired countless percent considering that it began selling 2010. A financial investment of $1 at the start would now be valued at more than $1.4 million. A dollar purchased the S&P 500 stock index for the very same duration would now deserve less than $4 consisting of reinvested dividends.&#xA 0;

    Some see the bitcoin market as &#x 201C; among the best shorting chances ever, &#x 201D; stated Lou Kerner, a partner at Flight VC who purchases the cryptocurrency. &#x 201C; You have a great deal of zealotry, and a great deal of individuals, including me, who believe it &#x 2019; s the best thing to ever occur in the history of humanity. You have a great deal of individuals who believe it &#x 2019; s a bubble and a Ponzi plan. It turns out both of them can &#x 2019; t be. &#x 201D;

    For more: Bitcoin goes to Wall Street whether regulators are prepared or not

    Bitcoin has actually been particularly unstable just recently, plunging almost 20 percent in less than 90 minutes on Nov. 29, to $9,009 after briefly topping $11,000. The cost has actually because recuperated, and was trading at more than $11,332.01 at 11:42 a.m. in New York on Monday, a 3.9 percent dive because Friday.

    Cboe stated Monday it will begin trading bitcoin futures on Dec. 10, while CME &#x 2019; s agreements are set to debut on Dec. 18.&#xA 0; Nasdaq is preparing to use futures in 2018, inning accordance with an individual knowledgeable about the matter. Cantor Fitzgerald LP &#x 2019; s Cantor Exchange is developing a bitcoin derivative, and start-up LedgerX currently provides choices.

    Ari Paul, co-founder of hedge fund BlockTower Capital and previous portfolio supervisor at the University of Chicago endowment, stated&#xA 0; individuals are misinterpreted if they believe the notoriously unpredictable cryptocurrency is a precise brief.

    &#x 201C; While some traders aspire to be able to brief bitcoin and will do so when the futures are introduced, there is a far higher quantity of loan excitedly waiting for the futures as a lorry to go long, &#x 201D; Paul stated.

    &#x 2018; Small Potatoes &#x 2019;

    There are restricted methods to brief bitcoin today, stated Michael Moro, president of Genesis Global Trading. The cryptocurrency trading platform has actually provided about $20 million to financiers to take bearish positions, which were primarily to hedge existing bets, he stated. Business like GDAX, BitMEX and Bitfinex permit financiers to purchase properties on margin for brief durations.

    &#x 201C; With the existing exchanges, nobody can get in and brief $1 million, &#x 201D; Moro stated. &#x 201C; It &#x 2019; s truly little potatoes on exactly what you can do today. The CME people open a brand-new frontier. &#x 201D;

    Bitcoin &#x 2019; s 90 percent rise this year has actually drawn a variety of responses from Wall Street. JPMorgan Chase &&Co. CEO Jamie Dimon notoriously called the cryptocurrency &#x 201C; a scams, &#x 201D; while bulls consisting of Thomas Lee at Fundstrat Global Advisors and hedge fund supervisor&#xA 0; Michael Novogratz have actually forecasted more increases.

    For more: Novogratz states crypto will be greatest bubble of life time

    The capability to short the currency is &#x 201C; a vital part of the environment, &#x 201D; stated Novogratz, who just recently started to raise $500 million to purchase cryptocurrencies. Novogratz, a bitcoin follower in the long term, has actually stated brief trades can be dangerous.

    &#x 201C; There is a great deal of froth, &#x 201D; he stated at a cryptocurrency conference recently in New York. &#x 201C; This is going to be the most significant bubble of our life times. &#x 201D;

    Short sellers basically obtain a security, wagering that the rate will fall and they can pocket the distinction when they return the holding. The technique brings dangers. Loaning bitcoin can be hard, and cost swings abrupt, stated Moro of Genesis.

    &#x 201C; The principle is that this is such an unpredictable market that it &#x 2019; s going to terrify a great deal of financiers away, &#x 201D; stated Kerner of&#xA 0; Flight VC.

    Investors might get stung like those who wager versus the web bubble in the late 1990s, stated Aaron Brown, a previous handling director at AQR Capital Management who purchases the cryptocurrency.

    &#x 201C; People who shorted the web in 1998 were right, however they went broke prior to they might gather any jackpots, &#x 201D; Brown stated. &#x 201C; One of the issues with it, if you think it &#x 2019; s a bubble or a Ponzi plan or whatever, it can go on for a very long time. &#x 201D;

      Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-04/the-next-big-short-hedge-funds-prepare-to-trade-against-bitcoin