Bitcoin Finds Floor After Worst Selloff Since 2015

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Bitcoin rebounded on Saturday along with most of the major cryptocurrencies, halting a four-day tumble that drew worldwide attention to the unregulated $500 billion market that’s frequently called a bubble.

The double-digit bounceback was strongest with second-tier digital coins. Bitcoin cash soared 21 percent and litecoin gained 12 percent as cryptocurrency traders regained optimism. They weren’t put off by comments published Saturday from a central banker in Germany that “the risk of rapid losses” is obscured in cryptocurrencies.

“The enthusiasm hasn’t been destroyed,” Marc Ostwald, global strategist at London-based ADM Investor Services International, said by phone from Warsaw. “It’s a volatile market, and investors are hungry for that. They say everything else is boring.”

The broad recovery on Saturday coincided with a pause in bearish news that had snowballed since Monday and shaved 24 percent off bitcoin’s value, its biggest four-day selloff since 2015. Comments by central bankers, a decision by litecoin’s founder to sell all his holdings and investors’ wishes to cut stakes before the holiday season fueled the plunge.

“With holidays approaching, some people want to step away from the table, and take their chips with them,” Ostwald said about the selloff. “Still, I wouldn’t want to put it down too much to rationality, because this is not a rational market.”

While bitcoin wasn’t the most volatile crypocurrency in the past week, it’s the largest, and it shook the world of digital-coin trading on Friday when its interday plunge reached 30 percent. That was the steepest dive since Jan. 14, 2015, back when its market value was just $2.4 billion. On Saturday it was about $260 billion.

Bitcoin advanced 10 percent to $15,530 at 4:21 p.m. New York time on Saturday, compared with 24 hours earlier, according to data on coinmarketcap.com.

In a late-week comment that undercut confidence, Michael Novogratz, the former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Fortress Investment Group LLC macro trader, said he’s shelving plans to start a cryptocurrency hedge fund. He predicted that bitcoin may extend its plunge to $8,000. Earlier this month he predicted it could reach $40,000 within a few months.

For a look at whether Goldman is building a cryptocurrency trading desk, click here.

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Growing pains in the digital-coin world and warnings emerged all week, adding to volatility.

Coinbase, one of the larger trading platforms, on Friday said all buys and sells were temporarily unavailable before they were re-enabled, according to its website. There were no incidents reported Saturday.

In South Korea, Yapian, the owner of bitcoin exchange Youbit, said Tuesday it would close and enter bankruptcy proceedings after a cyberattack that claimed 17 percent of its total assets.

‘Bitter Losers’

There’s been a string of warnings by regulators for investors in digital coins.

“We are seeing a rapid rise in value, which hides the risk of rapid losses,” Bundesbank board member Carl-Ludwig Thiele said in a Euro am Sonntag report. He said there is a wide debate going on about the use of digital central-bank money in a closed system, but that he doesn’t currently expect it’s introduction.

Felix Hufeld, president of German banking supervisor BaFin, advised consumers that trading in bitcoin would produce “bitter losers” and could result in a “total loss,” in an interview with German newspaper Bild.

EU Warning

That echoed comments three days ago by the European Union’s financial-services chief, Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis, who asked the heads of the EU’s three financial supervisors to update their warnings to consumers “as a matter of urgency” in light of recent market developments, according to a letter seen by Bloomberg.

In past years, central banks and the commercial lenders they oversee have made strides to curb money-laundering through greater transparency rules, only to see anonymous transactions explode in the nascent cryptocurrency industry — under names like Verge and Zcash. Their admonishments this month haven’t stopped double-digit rebounds.

“Huge rises and sudden, spectacular setbacks wouldn’t surprise me going forward,” ADM’s Ostwald said. “The worry is going to be, at some point, the pips are going to start squeaking. Retail investors losing money will ask, ‘Why aren’t you intervening to help me? And the answer is going to be, ‘Well, this is a casino. On your head, be it.’ ”

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    Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-23/bitcoin-climbs-finding-floor-after-worst-selloff-since-2015

    Bitcoin Lost Almost 20% of Its Value This Week

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    Bitcoin faced one of its biggest tests this week, losing almost 20 percent of its value after the world’s largest cryptocurrency reached a record high Monday.

    The digital currency plunged as much as 30 percent on Friday, before paring losses, as this week’s selloff extended to a fourth day. The weekly decline is the biggest in almost three years. Other cryptocurrencies also tumbled: ethereum dropped as much as 36 percent and litecoin slumped as much as 43 percent, according to composite prices on Bloomberg.

    Michael Novogratz, the former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Fortress Investment Group LLC macro trader, said he’s shelving plans to start a cryptocurrency hedge fund and predicted that bitcoin may extend its plunge to $8,000.

    “We didn’t like market conditions and we wanted to re-evaluate what we’re doing," Novogratz said in a phone interview. He predicted last week that bitcoin could reach $40,000 within a few months.

    Bitcoin dropped to as low as $10,776, before recovering to $14,303 at 4:04 p.m. in New York. It last traded below $10,000 on Dec. 1, when the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission agreed to allow trading in bitcoin futures. The price of the digital coin had more than doubled in the prior three weeks.

    The losses represent a major test for the cryptocurrency industry and the blockchain technology that underpins it, which have rapidly entered the mainstream in recent weeks. Bears cast doubt on the value of the virtual assets, with UBS Group AG this week calling bitcoin the “biggest speculative bubble in history.” Bulls argue the technology is a game changer for the world of investment and finance. Both will be closely watching the outcome of the current selloff.

    “The sharks are beginning to circle here, and the futures markets may give them a venue to strike,” said Ross Norman, chief executive officer of London-based bullion dealer Sharps Pixley Ltd., which offers gold in exchange for bitcoin. “Bitcoin’s been heavily driven by retail investors, but there’ll be some aggressive funds looking for the right opportunity to hammer this thing lower.”

    Traders who bought the currency on futures exchanges using collateral may start facing margin calls following the price decline. Two venues launched products in recent weeks that required hefty security, with Cboe needing 44 percent to clear contracts, and the CME 47 percent. Brokers set safety nets even higher.

    Coinbase, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, said all buying and selling was temporarily disabled during today’s rout, after having delays in processing wire transfers and verifying new customers for the past week due to higher traffic. Bitcoin transaction volume jumped more than 30 percent on Coinbase’s GDAX exchange, while fees to approve and record the transactions on the blockchain surged to a record $55, according to Bit Info Charts.

    Many of the recent news stories and market moves connected to cryptocurrencies appear to carry hallmarks of the mania phase of a bubble. Long Island Iced Tea Corp. shares rose as much as 289 percent on Thursday after the unprofitable Hicksville, New York-based company rebranded itself Long Blockchain Corp. Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Thursday bitcoin isn’t functioning like a normal means of payment and is being used for speculation.

    Still, cryptocurrencies are attracting established players. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is setting up a trading desk to make markets in digital currencies such as bitcoin, according to people with knowledge of the strategy. The bank aims to get the business running by the end of June, if not earlier, two of the people said.

    For related news and information:
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      Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-22/bitcoin-plummets-toward-13-000-down-more-than-30-from-record

      A Crypto Fund King Says Bitcoin Will Be the Biggest Bubble Ever

      Mike Novogratz is transforming himself as the king of bitcoin.

      The arrogant macro supervisor who flamed out at Fortress Investment Group LLC is beginning a $500 million hedge fund to buy cryptocurrencies, preliminary coin offerings and associated business. Novogratz will set up $150 countless his own cash and prepares to raise $350 million more by January, generally from household workplaces, rich people and fellow hedge fund supervisors, stated an individual acquainted with his strategies.

      At that size, the Galaxy Digital Assets Fund would be the most significant of its kind and signal a growing approval of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin and ether as genuine financial investments. For Novogratz, 52, the fund marks a resurgence to expert finance after humbling losses at Fortress and nearly 2 years of self-imposed exile from Wall Street.

      Novogratz, in an interview with Bloomberg Television, decreased to reject or validate that he &#x 2019; s raising a fund, mentioning regulative restrictions. He did talk at length about his current experience with digital possessions and why he &#x 2019; s excited to trade them.

      &#x 201C; This is going to be the biggest bubble of our life times, &#x 201D; Novogratz stated. &#x 201C; Prices are getting method ahead of where they ought to be. You can make a lot of cash en route up, and we intend on it. &#x 201D;

      &#x 2018; Trading Junkie &#x 2019;

      Just this month, bitcoin struck a record of nearly $5,000 then plunged 30 percent in 2 weeks as purchasers weighed the effect of a Chinese restriction on preliminary coin offerings and domestic trading in virtual currencies.

      &#x 201C; I cost $5,000 or $4,980, &#x 201D; he stated. &#x 201C; Then 3 weeks later on I &#x 2019; m shopping it in the low $3,000 s. It &#x 2019; s a lot of enjoyable if you &#x 2019; re excellent at that and you &#x 2019; re a trading addict. &#x 201D;

      Watch more: How macro trader Novogratz ended up being a bitcoin transform

      It began with a late-2015 see to a pal &#x 2019; s start-up in Brooklyn.

      &#x 201C; I anticipated to see Joe, a canine and one assistant. Rather I saw 30 vibrant youths stuffed in a Bushwick storage facility, coding, talking on the phone, making prepare for this transformation, &#x 201D; Novogratz stated. &#x 201C; Macro men are instinctive. My impulse was, &#x 2018; I wish to purchase a piece of this business. &#x 201D; &#x 2019;

      $250 Million Haul

      He chose rather to purchase ether, the cryptocurrency token utilized on the Ethereum network. Novogratz purchased about $500,000 at less than a dollar per ether and left on a getaway to India. By the time he returned a couple of weeks later on, the cost had actually increased more than fivefold. He purchased more.

      Over the course of 2016 and into 2017, as ether rose to practically $400 and bitcoin topped $2,500, Novogratz offered enough to make about $250 million, the most significant haul of any single sell his profession. He stated he paid tax on the earnings, purchased a Gulfstream G550 jet and contributed an equivalent total up to a humanitarian task for criminal justice reform.

      Novogratz was connected. Today, he hosts a weekly &#x 201C; crypto meet-up &#x 201D; for as numerous as 90 individuals over beverages at his workplace in Manhattan &#x 2019; s SoHo district and waxes gushing about his embraced market.

      &#x 201C; Remember, bubbles take place around things that basically alter the method we live, &#x 201D; he stated. &#x 201C; The railway bubble. Railways truly essentially altered the method we lived. The web bubble altered the method we live. When I look forward 5, 10 years, the possibilities truly get your animal spirits going. &#x 201D;

      Novogratz, understood to his pals as &#x 201C; Novo, &#x 201D; price quotes that he now has about 20 percent of his net worth in digital properties. In addition to cryptocurrencies, his household workplace has actually bought bitcoin mining, trading platforms, preliminary coin offerings, pre-ICO sales and blockchain innovation. He stated Gemini , the exchange run by Cameron and Tyler Winkelvoss, is &#x 201C; among our go-to locations &#x 201D; in part due to the fact that it has a New York State license to trade bitcoin and ether.

      With a $500 million hedge fund, Novogratz will have the ability to catch trading chances that need more scale, in addition to wield impact with business owners, designers and regulators. Naturally, he &#x 2019; ll likewise generate income on other individuals &#x 2019; s loan: The individual acquainted with his fund, who has actually seen early variations of marketing files, stated it will charge financiers a 2 percent management cost and 20 percent of earnings, with a two-year lockup.

      Plus, he #x &doesn 2019; t like the concept of fading away.

      &#x 201C; Everyone would like to leave Wall Street with dignity and few do, &#x 201D; Novogratz stated. &#x 201C; You get begun the knees or begun the belly, you gain from your errors, you type of restore and you begin your brand-new experience. &#x 201D;

      One thing hasn &#x 2019; t altered: Novo &#x 2019; s love of the dangerous bet.

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        Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-26/mike-novogratz-is-set-for-comeback-with-crytocurrency-hedge-fund